Lionel Messi has been given just a 4% chance of winning the Ballon d’Or this year, despite leading Argentina to victory in the 2024 Copa America.
Real Madrid’s Vinicius Junior is currently the frontrunner with a 35% chance, followed by Manchester City’s Rodri at 32% and Jude Bellingham at 11%. Dani Carvajal rounds out the top four with a 7% chance.
The Ballon d’Or ceremony is set for October 2024.
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